We are a proud member of the Financial Services Online network!
Connect with us on your favourite social media platform for the latest financial news, views, tips, tricks, resources and information.
Principal's top Global Strategist, Seema Shah, cautions that this last phase of battling inflation and the tail end of the tightening cycle might lead to rough and uncertain conditions. She notes that even minor inflationary surprises could significantly influence the economic trajectory and policy decisions. Historical episodes serve as a warning; for example, the US’s experience in the 1970s when the Fed’s early rate cuts reignited inflation, setting back their stabilizing efforts.
Yet, Shah also highlights the risks associated with delaying rate reductions. Should the Fed maintain the current rate of 5.5% amid falling inflation, it would inadvertently tighten policies through an increase in the real interest rate. This situation could jeopardize the favorable odds of a gradual economic deceleration, or 'soft landing,' necessitating a delicate policy response from the Federal Reserve.
In their analysis, Principal Asset Management suggests the Federal Reserve, led by Chair Powell, is inclined to start reducing rates sooner rather than later, anticipating a series of cuts beginning in September amidst unsettled market expectations and projections. The consensus now leans towards two cuts within the year rather than three, as previously expected, acknowledging the strength of the US economy and the Federal Reserve’s evident eagerness to commence loosening monetary policy.
However, given the economy’s robust performance and the low unemployment rates, initiating rate cuts at this juncture could inadvertently trigger another wave of inflation. Investors are advised to consider this dynamic as it points to a possibly restrained loosening cycle, with interest rates expected to remain elevated for an extended period.
Complicating matters further are the political considerations with the upcoming U.S. Presidential election, adding another layer of uncertainty to the Federal Reserve's policy-planning process. Nonetheless, the central bank’s predominant aim is to avoid creating additional economic headwinds while carefully pulling back from its tight monetary stance.
Published:Tuesday, 16th Apr 2024
Source: Paige Estritori
| Market Resilience Amid Strong Quarterly Inflation Data 30 Apr 2024: .Paige Estritori Following an initial surge, the Australian equities wavered into a close call as the market absorbed the recent inflation trends. Trading remained virtually unchanged with the S&P index dropping a nominal 0.5 points to settle at 7683, and the All Ordinaries dipping gently by 0.4 points, ending the day at 7937.5. - read more |
| Rates on the Rise: Market Jitters Lead to ASX Plunge 29 Apr 2024: .Paige Estritori Significant market movements underscore the growing concerns over a possible interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia, resulting in a marked drop in the nation’s share market. The S&P/ASX200 index faced a jarring fall, dropping 1.4 per cent which translates into a 107.1 point retreat, ending the session at 7575.9—a notable slump affecting a broad range of sectors. - read more |
| Tax Tension: Australians Grapple with Surging Income Levies as Inflation Undermines Earnings 26 Apr 2024: .Paige Estritori Amidst soaring living expenses and aggressive interest rate increases to quell inflation, Australians face an additional financial burden as income tax impositions outpace those in other affluent nations. This echelon of fiscal pressure is compounded by the unfortunate fact that their earnings are making a retreat in real value terms. - read more |
| Avoid Hefty Fines: Key ATO Dates to Remember 23 Apr 2024: .Paige Estritori Australians are being cautioned about the possibility of incurring a $313 penalty if they fail to observe two critical Australian Taxation Office (ATO) deadlines looming ahead. As tax season approaches, individuals must take note of these important dates to avoid fines. - read more |
| Inflation Outlook Brightens as Australia Braces for Key CPI Update 22 Apr 2024: .Paige Estritori A crucial announcement regarding consumer prices is forthcoming as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) anxiously waits to steer its future monetary policy decisions. Analysts and economy watchers alike have their eyes locked onto the publication of first-quarter consumer price index (CPI) data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, set to impact the nation's economic direction. - read more |
| Alarming Rise in Australian Student Loans Calls for Immediate Action 19 Apr 2024: .Paige Estritori A fresh analysis has sparked concern over the surging levels of student debt in Australia, invigorating discussions for policy revisions in the impending national budget. Projections denote that during the initial tenure of the incumbent Labor administration, the cumulative student debt may swell by an extraordinary $12.3 billion, marking a 16% escalation. This upward trend raises alarms for prospective and current students grappling with the financial barriers of higher education, and ignites a dialogue on the urgency of governmental intervention. - read more |
| Setting Sail: Top 10 Boating Spots in Australia Australia is a boater’s dream, offering an extraordinary array of aquatic landscapes that beckon adventurers to set sail and explore. From the gentle lap of waves in sheltered coves to the expanse of the open ocean, the joy of boating down under is unmatched. Whether you're a seasoned sailor or new to the world of nautical navigation, Australia’s waters promise spectacular views and unforgettable experiences. - read more
|
| Mistakes to Avoid When Applying for Boat Financing in Australia When it comes to purchasing a boat, financing plays a vital role for many individuals in Australia. However, applying for boat financing can be a complex process, and making mistakes along the way can lead to significant financial consequences and missed opportunities. - read more
|
| Tips for Australians Seeking Boat Financing Despite a Low Credit Score For many Australians, owning a boat is a dream come true. However, if you have a low credit score, obtaining financing for your dream boat can be a daunting task. A low credit score can make it challenging to secure traditional boat loans from banks or lenders. - read more
|
| Tips for Getting Approved for a Boat Loan with Bad Credit Having bad credit may make it seem challenging to secure a boat loan, as it can negatively impact your creditworthiness in the eyes of lenders. However, it's not impossible to get approved for a boat loan even with bad credit. - read more
|
| Setting Your Course: Fixed and Variable Rate Boat Loans Explored The allure of the open waters is undeniable, and for many Australians, the dream of owning a boat is akin to the ultimate freedom. Whether it's for leisurely sails along the coast, fishing adventures, or simply the joy of the aquatic lifestyle, boats represent an escape from the everyday grind. However, the pursuit of this dream often comes with a significant financial consideration: boat loans. - read more
|
| Expert Advice: What Lenders Look for When Approving Boat Financing Applications in Australia When it comes to buying a boat in Australia, many enthusiasts turn to financing options to help make their dream a reality. Boat financing involves obtaining a loan from a lender to cover the purchase of your desired vessel. Whether you are a seasoned sailor or a first-time boat buyer, knowing what lenders look for during the boat financing application process can greatly increase your chances of approval. - read more
|