The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
As Australians continue to face a challenging cost of living crisis, economic analysts have prepared retailers for a rocky road ahead as the Christmas season approaches.
Over the last year and a half, the Australian retail sector has been navigating what might be described as a recession, mostly indicated by declining trade figures. This downturn presents significant obstacles for retailers as they head towards one of the busiest times of the year.
In a sobering analysis by Deloitte Access Economics, partner Dave Rumbens highlights that retail spending has consistently declined over six of the previous seven quarters. This decrease is compounded by high living costs, rising interest rates, and stagnant wage growth, leading to an overall grim economic outlook.
“We’ve seen retailers struggle significantly," said Rumbens. "Real retail turnover has dropped for eight consecutive quarters, and consumer spending has barely budged at a 1.3% increase over the past 12 months.â€
Data reveals that the national real GDP growth up to March was just 1.1%, the lowest rate outside pandemic years since the 90s. According to Rumbens, this is a clear signal that Australia’s retail industry has been in a persistent recession for 18 months.
Despite the bleak outlook, this contraction in the retail sector is not surprising, given the weakening job market and the rising number of business insolvencies. “On a per capita basis, the reality is even harsher with real per capita retail spending shrinking by 2.5% compared to last year and further declining by 6.3% since June 2022,†explained Rumbens.
The "economic horror show" does not solely impact retailers; it reflects a broader economic malaise. With real consumer spending on retail down by 0.6% over the year to June, Rumbens predicts a difficult period ahead, though he remains hopeful that future years might bring some relief.
The Deloitte report underscores that new financial relief measures, including energy bill subsidies and tax cuts, might help increase disposable income and improve retail turnover. “While retailers should brace for continued challenges through the holiday season, we anticipate some gradual recovery," said Rumbens. Predictive figures show real retail turnover growth potentially rising from 0.3% in 2024 to 1.5% in both 2025 and 2026.
The recent monthly Consumer Price Index report for July shows inflation easing down to 3.5%, and underlying inflation dipping to 3.8%. Such signs might be initial indicators of economic stabilization, offering a glimmer of hope for Australian retailers.
Amidst this “new normal†of cautious and value-focused consumer behavior, the path to recovery might be slow, but not unattainable. Retailers who can adapt to the evolving economic landscape will be better positioned to overcome the tumultuous times still expected before a more stable future in 2025-26.
Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.
The Boating Industry Association has launched its sixth annual Discover Boating campaign for the 2026/27 summer season, aiming to bring more Australians into paddle, power and sail experiences just as household borrowing costs are again under pressure. For would-be buyers, the timing is a useful reminder that enthusiasm for weekends on the water should sit alongside careful planning for repayments, running costs and financial resilience. - read more
Queensland’s maritime sector has received a timely skills boost, with industry coverage on 27 October 2026 reporting that three marine qualifications have been added to subsidised training arrangements following advocacy supported by the Boating Industry Association. For Australian boat buyers, the announcement is not just a workforce story. It is a reminder that the real cost of boating depends on the availability, timing and quality of skilled people long after the purchase contract is signed. - read more
Recent finance coverage has again pointed to a lending market where approval is not just about wanting a loan, but about proving the repayments can fit comfortably within a household budget. For Australian boat buyers, that matters because a boat is usually a lifestyle purchase, and lenders often look closely at income stability, existing debts, living costs and the overall purpose of the finance. - read more
Electric and hybrid marine technology is continuing to move from specialist trade discussion into the practical buying conversation for Australian boaters. Recent marine industry coverage has pointed to growing attention on cleaner propulsion, quieter operation and smarter onboard systems, not only in commercial vessels but also across the recreational boating market. For households thinking about their next boat, the key question is less about whether the technology is exciting and more about whether the full ownership equation makes sense. - read more
Australia’s spring boating season is beginning to sharpen buyer attention again, with recent marine industry coverage pointing to renewed activity around dealers, shows and seasonal product launches. For many households, this is the time of year when a long-considered boat purchase starts to feel more immediate: the weather improves, waterways get busier and families begin planning summer weekends. - read more
Melbourne’s boating calendar is giving Victorian buyers another useful reason to move from dreaming to planning, with fresh industry attention on the Melbourne Boat Show and its role as a springboard for the recreational marine market. For buyers, the value of a show is not simply the chance to see polished new releases in one place. - read more
Are you dreaming of setting sail on your very own boat? While the freedom and adventure of boating are incredibly enticing, it's essential to ensure you're financially prepared before taking out a boat loan. - read more
The excitement of buying a boat and the role of right financing: The dream of sailing on the open seas or cruising through tranquil waterways can be incredibly enticing. The prospect of owning a boat opens up a world of adventure, relaxation, and luxury. However, much like navigating through uncharted waters, purchasing a vessel requires sound financial planning. Choosing the right boat loan is crucial in making this dream a reality without causing a financial shipwreck. - read more
When it comes to purchasing a boat, meticulous financial planning is essential. A boat is a significant financial commitment, often rivalling that of a home mortgage. Just as you wouldn't jump into buying a house without careful preparation, the same caution should be applied to a boat purchase. - read more
In today's competitive financial landscape, securing a boat loan quickly can make a world of difference. By preparing your application in advance, you expedite the approval process and increase your chances of success. - read more
Boating is a beloved pastime in Australia, with its stunning coastline and abundant waterways offering endless opportunities for adventure and relaxation. Whether you’re a seasoned sailor or a first-time boat buyer, hitting the waters is a dream come true for many Australians. However, purchasing a boat is a significant financial commitment and requires careful planning. - read more
Boat loan calculators can help Australian buyers estimate repayments before applying for marine finance, but the result depends on assumptions about the loan amount, rate, term, fees, repayment frequency and any balloon payment. - read more
Knowledgebase
Monetary Policy: The actions of a central bank or other regulatory authority that determine the size and rate of growth of the money supply.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts.