Capital Cities Face a Shifting Housing Landscape

⚠ The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

This new data also highlights a considerable increase in the number of homes being listed for sale in both Sydney and Melbourne. Listings in Sydney alone rose by 6.7% compared to the same period last year, while Melbourne saw a more modest increase of 1.1%.

Eliza Owen from CoreLogic attributes this shift to changing market dynamics. "This time of the year is typically slow in terms of demand, but this goes beyond seasonality," she explains. According to Owen, the increase in listings and the apparent lack of eager buyers may be early indicators of growing mortgage stress among homeowners.

Owen suggests, "There’s less appetite from buyers, but more sellers are coming into the market, which could indicate rising mortgage stress." This sentiment is echoed by Cate Bakos, a buyer's agent in Melbourne, who believes, "Prices can’t be expected to grow while we have higher stock levels and weaker buyer demand."

Interestingly, Brisbane and Perth have reported a deceleration in dwelling value growth, maintaining a rate of just 0.3% over the past four weeks. Such trends suggest a potential buyers’ market, particularly in Brisbane, where supply has surged and demand has slowed, according to Zoran Solano of Hot Property Buyers Agency. "For me as a buyer’s agent, it’s a positive sign that the power has shifted back a little bit towards buyers," she observes.

Further analysis from The Australian Financial Review indicates that property values in Brisbane are declining in one out of seven suburbs, the highest rate in almost two years. CoreLogic’s Tim Lawless sees this as a sign that prices may continue to ease due to increased listings, reduced interstate migration, and affordability challenges. "The market is likely to continue to ease, and we could see prices moving into a subtle decline before interest rates come down," he remarks.

AMP chief economist Shane Oliver predicts a similar trend, highlighting Brisbane as a market where values might soon turn negative, following the pattern seen in Sydney and Melbourne. "Brisbane looks to me like a really soggy market and I wouldn’t be surprised if house prices go negative in the next couple of months," Oliver comments.

Oliver also suggests that potential interest rate cuts could reverse this downward trajectory. "A rate cut could turn that downward momentum around, so if it occurs in February it has the potential to head off a dip into negative territory for Brisbane prices," he explains, warning that delays in rate cuts might extend the price downturn.

Meanwhile, PropTrack notes an 80% spike in Brisbane home values since the pandemic’s onset in March 2020, which has positioned Brisbane as Australia’s second most expensive housing market by median value. However, rising prices, slowing migration, and worsening affordability may soon turn Brisbane into the latest domino to fall in the nation’s housing saga.

Published:Tuesday, 28th Jan 2025
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Discover Boating Australia Partners with Marinas to Promote Dry Stack Storage

14 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

In a collaborative effort to enhance boat storage solutions, Discover Boating Australia has joined forces with key marinas in South East Queensland to launch a comprehensive Dry Stack Promotional Campaign. This initiative aims to raise awareness about the benefits of dry stack storage and promote responsible boating practices as the summer season approaches. - read more

Marinas26 Conference to Explore AI and Superyacht Strategies

06 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

The Marina Industries Association (MIA) has unveiled the comprehensive program for Marinas26, its premier biennial conference and trade exhibition, scheduled for 24-27 May 2026 at the RACV Royal Pines Resort on Queensland’s Gold Coast. This year’s theme, 'Future Smart,' aims to delve into the transformative trends and technologies poised to redefine the marina and boatyard sectors across the Asia-Pacific region and beyond. - read more

Australian Marine Industry's Economic Output Hits $229 Billion

06 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian marine industry has reached a remarkable economic milestone, with its output soaring to $229 billion in 2023. This 19% increase from previous years underscores the sector's robust growth and its pivotal role in the national economy. - read more

BIA Advocates for Government Support in Marine Manufacturing

06 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

The Boating Industry Association Ltd (BIA) is calling on all levels of Australian government to provide strategic support to the nation's marine manufacturing and recreational boating sector. This appeal comes in response to a significant skills shortage that threatens the industry's substantial economic contributions. - read more

Austal's $100 Million Boost for U.S. Shipyard Expansion

26 Feb 2026: Paige Estritori

Austal Limited, a prominent Australian shipbuilder, has secured a substantial $100 million loan from Export Finance Australia (EFA) to bolster its shipbuilding operations in Mobile, Alabama. This strategic investment aims to enhance the construction of vessels for the U.S. Navy and Coast Guard, reinforcing Austal's position in the global maritime industry. - read more

BIA and AFTA Collaborate to Boost Australia's Boating and Fishing Sectors

26 Feb 2026: Paige Estritori

In a significant move for Australia's outdoor recreation sector, the Boating Industry Association (BIA) and the Australian Fishing Trade Association (AFTA) have formalized an agreement to collaborate more closely. This partnership is designed to benefit their combined membership base and bolster support for boat-based fishing across the nation. - read more

Click for more Finance News