Capital Cities Face a Shifting Housing Landscape

0

⚠ The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

This new data also highlights a considerable increase in the number of homes being listed for sale in both Sydney and Melbourne. Listings in Sydney alone rose by 6.7% compared to the same period last year, while Melbourne saw a more modest increase of 1.1%.

Eliza Owen from CoreLogic attributes this shift to changing market dynamics. "This time of the year is typically slow in terms of demand, but this goes beyond seasonality," she explains. According to Owen, the increase in listings and the apparent lack of eager buyers may be early indicators of growing mortgage stress among homeowners.

Owen suggests, "There’s less appetite from buyers, but more sellers are coming into the market, which could indicate rising mortgage stress." This sentiment is echoed by Cate Bakos, a buyer's agent in Melbourne, who believes, "Prices can’t be expected to grow while we have higher stock levels and weaker buyer demand."

Interestingly, Brisbane and Perth have reported a deceleration in dwelling value growth, maintaining a rate of just 0.3% over the past four weeks. Such trends suggest a potential buyers’ market, particularly in Brisbane, where supply has surged and demand has slowed, according to Zoran Solano of Hot Property Buyers Agency. "For me as a buyer’s agent, it’s a positive sign that the power has shifted back a little bit towards buyers," she observes.

Further analysis from The Australian Financial Review indicates that property values in Brisbane are declining in one out of seven suburbs, the highest rate in almost two years. CoreLogic’s Tim Lawless sees this as a sign that prices may continue to ease due to increased listings, reduced interstate migration, and affordability challenges. "The market is likely to continue to ease, and we could see prices moving into a subtle decline before interest rates come down," he remarks.

AMP chief economist Shane Oliver predicts a similar trend, highlighting Brisbane as a market where values might soon turn negative, following the pattern seen in Sydney and Melbourne. "Brisbane looks to me like a really soggy market and I wouldn’t be surprised if house prices go negative in the next couple of months," Oliver comments.

Oliver also suggests that potential interest rate cuts could reverse this downward trajectory. "A rate cut could turn that downward momentum around, so if it occurs in February it has the potential to head off a dip into negative territory for Brisbane prices," he explains, warning that delays in rate cuts might extend the price downturn.

Meanwhile, PropTrack notes an 80% spike in Brisbane home values since the pandemic’s onset in March 2020, which has positioned Brisbane as Australia’s second most expensive housing market by median value. However, rising prices, slowing migration, and worsening affordability may soon turn Brisbane into the latest domino to fall in the nation’s housing saga.

Published:Tuesday, 28th Jan 2025
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Australia's Marine Industry Surges to $229 Billion in 2023

14 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

Australia's marine industry has achieved a remarkable economic milestone, with its output soaring to $229 billion in 2023. This 19% increase from previous years underscores the sector's robust growth and its pivotal role in the national economy. - read more

South Australia's Coastal Waters Affected by Prolonged Algal Bloom

14 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

Since March 2025, South Australia's coastal regions have been grappling with a harmful algal bloom (HAB) that has had profound effects on the marine environment and associated industries. This event has led to significant fish kills, adversely impacting the fishing and aquaculture sectors, as well as deterring beachgoers and affecting tourism operators along the affected coasts. - read more

Marinex Underwriting Launches to Address Australia's Marine Insurance Needs

14 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

Rhodian Group, an incubator of underwriting agencies in Australia, has announced the launch of its third agency, Marinex Underwriting. Backed by global specialty insurance distributor Amwins, Marinex is a shared equity marine underwriting agency co-founded by national relationship manager Janelle Karnib, CEO Chris Kelly, and Ainsley Smith. - read more

Queensland Government Invests in Marine Industry Workforce

06 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

The Queensland Government has recently partnered with the Boating Industry Association (BIA) to significantly enhance the Marine Jobs program throughout the state. This collaboration is set to provide a substantial boost to employment opportunities within Queensland's marine sector, which boasts the highest concentration of marine businesses in Australia. - read more

BIA and AFTA Collaborate to Enhance Boating and Fishing Industries

06 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

In a significant move for Australia's outdoor recreation sector, the Boating Industry Association (BIA) and the Australian Fishing Trade Association (AFTA) have formalised an agreement to collaborate more closely. This partnership is designed to benefit their combined membership base and bolster support for boat-based fishing across the nation. - read more

South Australia's Algal Bloom: A Challenge for the Marine Industry

29 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

Since March 2025, South Australia's coastal regions have been grappling with a harmful algal bloom (HAB) that has had profound effects on the marine environment and associated industries. This event has led to significant fish kills, adversely impacting the fishing and aquaculture sectors, as well as deterring beachgoers and affecting tourism operators along the affected coasts. - read more

Click for more Finance News