Shifting Tides: Diverging Paths for Consumers and Businesses in Australia

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Westpac's latest consumer sentiment survey, released this Tuesday, indicates an escalating sense of pessimism among consumers. The bank's index, which reflects expectations for variable mortgage rates over the next twelve months, soared by 12.8% in July. This spike marks the highest monthly rise since the inception of the survey at the beginning of 2022.

"Consumer sentiment has remained entrenched in a deeply pessimistic zone for two years now," remarked Matthew Hassan, Senior Economist at Westpac.

Despite government incentives like the stage three tax cuts and fiscal support measures initiated from July 1, many households haven't experienced immediate financial relief due to banking payment cycles that often extend fortnightly or monthly. "Inflation pressures and the looming threat of more interest rate hikes continue to overshadow consumer sentiment," Hassan observed.

A staggering 60% of consumers anticipate a rise in mortgage rates over the next year. With the Reserve Bank's meeting on August 5-6 being deemed "live" for a potential interest rate hike to 4.6%, caution seems warranted. Added to this, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expressed concerns in its June meeting minutes that returning inflation to the target range of 2-3% might take longer than desired.

Family finances appear to be a primary source of consumer stress, with the corresponding sub-index plummeting by 8.4% in July, almost entirely reversing the previous month's 9.7% gain. This underscores the fragile state of household budgets.

In contrast, the same day also saw the release of National Australia Bank's (NAB) business confidence data, which painted a more optimistic picture. Business confidence rose last month, buoyed by a broad-based uptick across various industries, marking the highest level seen this year. However, business conditions continued on a downward trajectory, following a peak in late 2022.

NAB's head of Australian economics, Gareth Spence, noted a significant decline in the employment index during the month. "Though it's just one month's reading, the employment index dropping below its long-term average might indicate weakening labour demand paralleling a broader economic slowdown," Spence commented.

Other economic indicators delivered mixed signals. Forward orders dipped deeply into negative territory, mainly dragged down by the retail and wholesale sectors. Labour cost growth eased to 1.8% on a quarterly equivalent after May's 2.3%. On the other hand, purchase cost growth declined from 1.7% to 1.3%.

Despite these contractions, Spence highlighted a positive turn. "Encouragingly, key price and cost growth metrics have rolled back their increases from the previous month," he said. Retail price growth remained steady but notably high, notwithstanding the sluggish outlook and dented industry confidence.

Overall, these recent survey results portray a nuanced economic landscape. As articulated by Commonwealth Bank of Australia's Head of Australian Economics, Gareth Aird, the combined insights from Westpac, NAB, and job advertisement data from Seek depict an Australian economy gradually softening, with disparate impacts on consumers and businesses alike.

Published:Wednesday, 10th Jul 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Grand G980 Arrival Highlights Premium RIB Demand

30 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

Grand Boats Australia’s Southern Hemisphere debut of the Grand G980 adds another notable option to the premium recreational boating market. The 10-metre rigid inflatable boat is positioned as a flagship adventure RIB, combining high-performance offshore capability with the kind of comfort features usually associated with larger cruisers. For Australian buyers, it is another sign that the local market remains interested in versatile boats that can handle family days, coastal exploring and overnight escapes. - read more

Mackay Boat Wreck Removal Sends a Timely Message to Owners

23 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

Queensland’s latest waterway clean-up in the Mackay region is a useful reminder that boat ownership does not end at the purchase price. Announced on 22 June 2026, the Queensland Government has now removed more than 150 derelict vessels from local waterways under the Keeping Our Waterways Safe initiative, with recent work focused on the Pioneer River. - read more

Vessev's Electric Hydrofoiling Boats Poised to Revolutionise Swan River Transport

16 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

Perth's Swan River is on the brink of a transportation transformation with the introduction of Vessev's electric hydrofoiling vessels. These innovative boats promise to deliver high-speed travel without the disruptive wakes that have long restricted river usage. - read more

ACCC Halts BRP's Sale of Telwater to Yamaha

16 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) has intervened to block the proposed sale of Telwater Pty Ltd., a leading Australian aluminium boat manufacturer, from BRP Inc. to Yamaha Motor Australia. This decision ensures that Telwater remains under BRP's ownership for the foreseeable future. - read more

Austal to Construct New Passenger Catamaran for Whitsundays Routes

16 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

Austal Limited has announced that its Australasia division has secured a contract valued between AUD 14 million and AUD 16 million to build a 36-metre passenger catamaran for Cruise Whitsundays, part of the experiential tourism group Journey Beyond. This vessel is set to enhance transport services in Queensland's renowned Whitsundays region. - read more

Pioneering Australia's First Fully Electric Passenger Ferry

09 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

In a groundbreaking development for Australia's marine industry, Aus Ships and Volvo Penta have announced their collaboration to construct the nation's first fully electric passenger ferry. This initiative signifies a major advancement in sustainable marine transportation, aligning with global efforts to reduce carbon emissions and promote eco-friendly alternatives. - read more

Click for more Finance News